〰️ DRAFT RESEARCH PROPOSAL · GRAVITATIONAL WAVES + COSMIC RAYS · LIGO/KAGRA + PIERRE AUGER

LIGO/Virgo/KAGRA Continuous GW Search + Pierre Auger UHECR Anisotropy Correlation — Omega Centauri Multi-Messenger Program

Two synergistic initiatives leveraging existing public datasets: narrowband continuous gravitational wave searches for known OC pulsars, and ultra-high-energy cosmic ray anisotropy cross-correlation with neutrino and GW triggers · Working draft · April 2026

Synergy note: These two initiatives are designed to be conducted in parallel by a single research group. Each is scientifically self-contained and independently publishable. Their combined value is greatest if both yield results from the OC direction — a UHECR hotspot correlated with a CW signal and neutrino events across different physical mechanisms constitutes extraordinarily compelling evidence for a coherent, localized phenomenon.

Initiative I: LIGO/Virgo/KAGRA Narrowband Continuous Gravitational Wave Search

I.1 Scientific Rationale

Continuous gravitational waves (CWs) — persistent, nearly monochromatic GW signals — are emitted by rapidly rotating non-axisymmetric compact objects: neutron stars, pulsars, and exotic compact binaries. OC's high stellar density makes it a natural factory for such systems. A targeted search concentrates sensitivity on specific, known objects rather than performing a computationally expensive blind all-sky scan.

From the OCS perspective, there is an additional motivation: the Blandford-Znajek mechanism operating at the IMBH would involve a rapidly spinning black hole with a structured accretion disk — a potential source of persistent quadrupolar GW emission if the disk is sufficiently asymmetric. While highly speculative, such a signal would be unique to an active IMBH rather than a dark cluster, providing yet another discriminant.

I.2 Methodology

Target catalog: Compile positions, spin frequencies, and spin-down rates for all known radio pulsars and gamma-ray sources associated with OC using:

Analysis pipeline: Apply F-statistic matched-filtering to public LIGO/Virgo/KAGRA O4 data (available via GWOSC). The F-statistic correlates detector strain with a theoretical CW template, searching for excess power in a narrow frequency band around 2 × f_spin of each target pulsar, with a small range of frequency derivatives accounting for spin-down.

F-statistic: 2F = (Fa² + Fb²) where Fa, Fb are matched filter outputs for two polarisation templates Detection threshold: 2F > 55 (≈5σ for targeted search after trials correction)

Public data access: All O4 data available via gwosc.org. O5 (enhanced sensitivity, beginning ~2027) will further improve reach. Analysis frameworks: LALSuite (lalsuite), PyFstat (Ashton & Prix 2018).

Expected upper limits: For a targeted search at O4 sensitivity, GW strain upper limits of h₀ < 10⁻²⁶–10⁻²⁷ are achievable for the most sensitive frequency bands, constraining the ellipticity of any neutron star in OC to ε < 10⁻⁷–10⁻⁸.

I.3 Novelty

Narrowband CW searches for known pulsars are standard during O4 (see Narrowband searches for CWs from known pulsars in the first two parts of O4, arXiv:2603.25938). This proposal's novelty is the targeted application to OC as a technosignature site of interest — treating a standard astrophysics technique as a multi-messenger component of a coherent observational strategy, rather than an isolated search.

Initiative II: Pierre Auger Ultra-High-Energy Cosmic Ray Anisotropy Correlation

II.1 Scientific Rationale

Ultra-high-energy cosmic rays (UHECRs; E > 55 EeV) are the most energetic particles known. Their arrival direction distribution shows statistically significant large-scale anisotropies (Pierre Auger Collaboration, Science 2017; arXiv:1709.07321). OC's direction has been suggested as a possible hotspot region in some analyses. While UHECRs are charged and deflected by intergalactic magnetic fields (typically 1°–10° for protons at 60 EeV over ~5 Mpc), their collective arrival direction anisotropy can still indicate source locations when correlated with neutral messengers.

The key scientific question: Is there a statistically significant excess of UHECR events from the OC direction that is spatially correlated with high-energy neutrino events (IceCube/KM3NeT) and/or GW triggers (LIGO/KAGRA)? A single UHECR hotspot toward OC is consistent with conventional astrophysics (OC's dense stellar core may host exotic compact binaries). However, a correlated excess across three different messenger types — cosmic rays, neutrinos, and gravitational waves — would be extremely difficult to explain with standard models.

II.2 Methodology

Dataset 1: Pierre Auger UHECR events

Dataset 2: IceCube/KM3NeT high-energy neutrino alerts

Dataset 3: LIGO/Virgo/KAGRA GW transient events

Statistical analysis:

Cross-correlation: C(θ) = N_pairs(|Δ_ij| < θ) / N_expected_random(θ) Bayesian anisotropy: compute P(source in OC direction | data) vs P(isotropic | data) Significance: generate 10⁵ randomised control samples preserving LST distribution

The "convergence of evidence" test: The analysis requires not just a UHECR excess but a temporally and spatially correlated excess across multiple messengers. Random coincidences across three physically independent detectors with different systematics are exponentially unlikely.

II.3 Background Considerations

The Galactic Center region (Sgr A*, δ ≈ −29°) is the dominant astrophysical UHECR candidate in the southern sky. OC at δ = −47° is distinct and separated by ~18° — well-resolvable with Auger's angular resolution. The isotropic cosmic-ray background requires careful modelling; the null hypothesis is an isotropic flux modulated only by the Auger exposure function.

Comparative Feasibility

FeatureInitiative I: LIGO CWInitiative II: Auger UHECR
Primary instrumentLIGO/Virgo/KAGRA O4 + O5 public dataPierre Auger Observatory (15+ year dataset)
Data accessImmediate (GWOSC)Immediate (Auger public release)
Key skillGW signal processing, matched filtering, F-statisticStatistical analysis, Bayesian inference, cosmic-ray physics
Timeline1–2 years (O4 data analysis)1 year (existing dataset + correlation pipeline)
NoveltyStandard technique, novel target applicationStandard technique, novel GW-UHECR correlation dimension
Key advantageDirect physical probe of compact objects in OC15 years of statistics; tests hadronic acceleration channel

Work Plan

YearInitiativeMilestoneDeliverable
1IOC pulsar catalog compilation; LALSuite/PyFstat pipeline setup; O4 data accessTarget catalog; pipeline documentation
1IIAuger event list acquisition; IceCube/KM3NeT neutrino lists; cross-correlation frameworkStatistical analysis code repository
2IF-statistic CW search across all OC pulsars; upper limits on strain amplitudesCW upper limit paper (standalone or combined)
2IIUHECR-neutrino correlation analysis; UHECR-GW correlation; Bayesian significanceCorrelation analysis results
3I+IICombined multi-messenger analysis; O5 CW search (if O5 data available)Joint multi-messenger paper submitted to ApJ

Budget

ItemCost (USD)
Graduate RA (3 years, two complementary skill sets preferred)180,000
HPC compute (GW matched filtering + UHECR Monte Carlo)35,000
Travel (LIGO Scientific Collaboration, Auger collaboration meetings)15,000
Publication (two papers)9,000
Total~239,000

References

  1. Pierre Auger Collaboration (2017). Observation of a large-scale anisotropy in UHECR arrival directions. Science, 357, 1266. doi:10.1126/science.aan4338
  2. LIGO/Virgo/KAGRA Collaboration (2023). GWTC-3: Compact binary coalescences observed by LIGO and Virgo. Phys. Rev. X, 13, 041039.
  3. LIGO/Virgo/KAGRA Collaboration (2025). Narrowband searches for CWs from known pulsars in O4. arXiv:2603.25938
  4. Ashton, G., & Prix, R. (2018). Hierarchical multistage MCMC follow-up of continuous gravitational wave candidates. Phys. Rev. D, 97, 103020.
  5. IceCube Collaboration (2020). 10-year point-source sensitivity. Phys. Rev. Lett., 124, 051103.
  6. Häberle, M., et al. (2024). Fast-moving stars in ω Cen. Nature, 631, 285. arXiv:2405.06015
  7. Pierre Auger Collaboration (2022). Search for spatial correlations of neutrinos with UHECRs. ApJ, 935, 170. doi:10.3847/1538-4357/ac6def
  8. Aartsen, M. G., et al. (2016). An indication of anisotropy in UHECR arrival directions. ApJL, 833, L9. doi:10.3847/2041-8213/aaa66d
Working draft · April 2026 · ← Return to omegacentauri.me

Relevant tools

CW GW Sensitivity
Continuous gravitational wave detectability
LISA EMRI Detectability
Inspiral GW signal from OC IMBH
Penrose Energy Reservoir
Ergosphere energy extraction
IMBH Constraint Stacker
Joint mass window from all methods