Live constraint board

IMBH Evidence Dashboard

Adjust mass, spin, and magnetic field to see how all major observational constraints update simultaneously. Each panel re-derives its key quantity in real time and links to the full tool for deeper exploration.

Canonical reference: M = 8,200 M☉ (Häberle 2024), d = 5,494 pc (Häberle 2025), a = 0.9 (assumed)

Shared parameters — drag to update all panels
8,200 M☉
log scale · 1,000 – 50,000 M☉
0.900
0 = Schwarzschild · 0.998 = near-extremal
10,000 T
log scale · 10 – 10⁸ T
Mass Constraint Window Kinematics
M☉ lower · M☉ upper

Häberle 2024 · Bañares 2025 · González Prieto 2025 Open constraint stacker →
Blandford-Znajek Power Jet / BZ
W

Blandford & Znajek 1977 · κ = 0.044 Open BZ-Kardashev tool →
Radio Jet Flux Radio
µJy at 5 GHz
0 µJy

Merloni+2003 fundamental plane · MeerKAT 3 µJy · SKA 0.6 µJy Open radio tool →
Penrose Energy Reservoir Spin Energy
J

Christodoulou 1970 · Penrose 1971 Open Penrose tool →
Gamma-ray BZ Signature Gamma / Fermi
GeV cm⁻² s⁻¹
0Fermi-LAT limit

f_leak = 10⁻⁵ · 25 MSPs · 15 yr Fermi obs Open gamma-ray tool →
Spin-up Timeline Accretion
yr

ṁ = 10⁻³ M☉/yr (tidal capture est.) · OC age ~12 Gyr Open spin-up tool →
Galactic Orbital Context Orbit
6.4 kpc · current Galactocentric distance

OC orbits with period ~370 Myr. Last pericentre at ~1.5 kpc (~0.3 Gyr ago) stripped ~3% of cluster mass per passage. Backward integration to formation suggests M₀ ≈ 5–10× current mass, consistent with a nuclear star cluster origin that could have seeded a central massive black hole.

Vasiliev & Baumgardt 2021 Gaia EDR3 · V_c = 220 km/s Open orbit simulator →
Stellar-mass BH Population Astrometry
4.46 M☉ · oMEGACat BH-2 (first of ~10⁴ predicted)
FIRST DIRECT DETECTION — July 2026

First stellar-mass black hole confirmed in Omega Centauri: a 4.46 M☉ BH in a 94-yr binary with a 0.78 M☉ main-sequence star, found astrometrically from 20+ yr of HST data plus JWST — the longest-period BH binary known. Cluster models predict ~10⁴ such BHs; this first confirmed member is direct evidence for the extended-central-mass (BH cluster) alternative that the Bañares 2025 timing limit favors over a single IMBH.

Whitaker et al. 2026 ApJL · arXiv:2606.18350 · doi:10.3847/2041-8213/ae7a5c Open dark cluster tool →
Overall Evidence Assessment Verdict
positive indicators / 6

Aggregates: mass tension · BZ power · radio detectability · gamma detectability · Penrose reservoir · spin-up feasibility Full falsification framework →
Verifiable evidence artifact
Constraint-stacker evaluation -- hash-anchored, zk-proven, timestamped
execution_hash (SHA-256, JCS §4 canonical preimage) 533362070f30bf62f874fcf9b589446c8ec745c1023b575d515a7f77d68ae59f
Hash anchor
§4 JCS canonicalization
SHA-256 over {policy_parameters, output_payload}
Zero-knowledge proof
groth16-bn254 · RISC0
guest ImageID a1a0bc89
(§18)
Timestamps
RFC3161 gen_time
2026-07-04T20:15:58Z
OpenTimestamps / Bitcoin
(§20)
This constraint evaluation -- Haberle 2024 lower bound (8,200 M-sun) and Banares-Hernandez 2025 upper limit (6,000 M-sun) stacked -- was recorded and hash-anchored before the TRAPUM 2026 pulsar results (arXiv:2603.21845) were available.