1Orbital Clock 2Mass Loss Rate 3Feeding the Engine 4Engineering Window Summary
Four-stage workflow · cluster orbit → tidal stripping → IMBH feeding → BZ engineering window

OC Survivability Budget

Four-stage cascade: cluster orbit → tidal stripping → IMBH feeding rate → BZ power budget over OC's remaining lifetime. How many billion years does the civilisation have?

🔬 Established dynamics (stages 1–3) ✦ MTH application (stage 4)
Refs: Baumgardt & Hilker 2018 · Vasiliev & Baumgardt 2021 · King 1962 · Thorne 1974 · No backend · State in URL hash · v1.0 · 2026-06-02
01
OC's Galactic Orbit
Orbital Clock
Set orbital period and pericentre distance to count future passages

Omega Centauri orbits the Milky Way on a retrograde, mildly eccentric orbit with a period of ~300 Myr. Each pericentre passage strips mass from the cluster. Gaia DR3 proper motions (Vasiliev & Baumgardt 2021) constrain the current pericentre distance to ~1.2 kpc.

Inputs
300 Myr
1.2 kpc
Stage 1 outputs
Pericentre passages in 10 Gyr
Future passages (12.1 Gyr remaining)
Current pericentrekpc
Orbital periodMyr
Passes to Stage 2: N_future = pericentre passages · T_orb = Myr
02
Tidal Stripping · King 1962
Mass Loss Rate
Set stripping fraction and cluster mass to compute dissolution time

At each pericentre, the Milky Way's tidal field strips the outermost stars. The fractional mass loss scales with (r_peri/r_tidal)³ where r_tidal ~ 100 pc is OC's current tidal radius. Baumgardt & Hilker (2018) place the current cluster mass at ~3.5–4.5 × 10⁶ M☉.

Inputs (N_future from Stage 1)
N_future from Stage 1
3.0 %
4.00 × 10⁶ M☉
Stage 2 outputs
Mass remaining after N_future passagesM☉
Fraction remaining
Half-mass time T_{1/2}Gyr
Dissolution time (10% threshold) T_dissGyr
Verdict
Passes to Stage 3: M_remaining = M☉ · T_diss = Gyr · f_strip = %
03
Accretion from Stellar Population
Feeding the Engine
Set accretion rate and IMBH mass to project final spin-up mass

As the cluster loses mass, the tidal capture rate (proportional to stellar density squared × cluster mass) decreases. The IMBH grows until the cluster runs out of stars. Total mass accreted by dissolution determines whether spin-up to a★ = 0.95 is achievable before the fuel runs out.

Inputs (M_remaining, T_diss, f_strip, T_orb from prior stages)
M_remaining / T_diss from Stage 2
10⁻³ M☉/yr
8,200 M☉
Stage 3 outputs
Total mass accreted ΔM_accretedM☉
Final IMBH mass M_fM☉
Spin-up mass needed (to a★=0.95)M☉
Spin-up verdict
Passes to Stage 4: M_f = M☉ · ΔM = M☉ · T_diss = Gyr
04
MTH Timeline · Blandford-Znajek 1977
The Engineering Window
Set field and spin to compute BZ power budget over the cluster's remaining life

How much BZ energy is available over the cluster's remaining engineerable lifetime? The power increases as spin-up proceeds, then decreases as the cluster loses fuel. This stage assumes spin-up is completed and computes an upper-bound on total extractable energy over T_diss years at the final spin. BZ power scales steeply: P ∝ B² M² a²/(1+√(1−a²))².

Inputs (M_f, T_diss from prior stages)
M_f / T_diss from Stages 2–3
10⁶ T
a★ = 0.950
Stage 4 outputs
BZ power at final spin P_BZ_finalW
Kardashev scale K
vs. solar luminosity
Total energy budget E_total (upper bound)J
E_total vs. Sun × Gyr
Horizon radius r₊km
✓ OC Survivability Budget — Full Summary
T_orb
Myr
r_peri
kpc
T_diss
Gyr
M_f (IMBH)
M☉
P_BZ_final
watts
Kardashev K
scale
E_total
joules (upper bound)
Spin-up verdict
vs. dissolution